Kim Kaivanto

CRUCIAL Sponsors Special Session on Prediction Markets
CRUCIAL is sponsoring a special session, as well as an associated best paper award, on prediction markets.
Sep 10, 2026 9:00 AM — Sep 11, 2026 4:00 PM [Lancaster University Management School](https://www.lancaster.ac.uk/lums/)
CRUCIAL Sponsors Special Session on Prediction Markets
CRUCIAL featured in Independent article
CRUCIAL’s Mark Roulston is among the scientists Helen Coffey interviewed about the prospect of a Super El Niño in 2026.
Jun 1, 2026 3 min read
CRUCIAL featured in Independent article
New joint-outcome markets: El Niño-Southern Oscillation & Indian Ocean Dipole
CRUCIAL opens 4 new markets for the joint outcome of the Relative Oceanic Nino Index (RONI) and the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode Index (IODMI): Sept–Nov 2026, Dec–Feb 2027, Mar–May 2027, Jun–Aug 2027.
May 25, 2026 2 min read
New joint-outcome markets: El Niño-Southern Oscillation & Indian Ocean Dipole
New Teams Join CRUCIAL Markets
Teams from Maynooth University Ireland, the Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences, the University of West Indies at Mona, Jamaica, and Colby College, USA, join CRUCIAL Markets.
May 15, 2026 2 min read
New Teams Join CRUCIAL Markets
A market mechanism for synthesizing predictions of physical climate risks
The usefulness of predictions of physical climate risks to the financial sector is now appreciated but climate forecasting can also learn from the ability of financial markets to aggregate distributed information and expertise.
May 7, 2026 2:40 PM — 2:50 PM [Austria Center Vienna](https://www.acv.at/en/)
Video
A market mechanism for synthesizing predictions of physical climate risks
CRUCIAL Webinar for Market Participants
This webinar for CRUCIAL market participants anticipates the imminent launch of a range of new CRUCIAL markets featuring a two-dimensional, joint-outcome structure.
Apr 14, 2026 11:00 AM — 12:05 PM Online (Teams)
Video
CRUCIAL Webinar for Market Participants
AGORA Trading Guide v1.1
Guide to using CRUCIAL’s AGORA prediction market platform — API update (April 2026)
Apr 11, 2026 2 min read
PDF
AGORA Trading Guide v1.1
CRUCIAL featured in Bloomberg article
CRUCIAL presented as exemplar of Science Markets
Apr 10, 2026 4 min read
CRUCIAL featured in Bloomberg article
SCOR Foundation Workshop: CRUCIAL
On 18 December 2025, SCOR’s London Office hosted the SCOR Foundation Workshop featuring presentations by Kim Kaivanto, Mark Roulston, Symeon Koumoutsaris, Global Head of Cat Research & Development at SCOR, Kristian Strømmen and Andrew McRae of the Oxford AOPP Team, Michael Meredith Joint Director of the UK National Climate Science Partnership, and Philippe Trainar, Director of the SCOR Foundation for Science, which funds CRUCIAL.
Dec 18, 2025 1:00 PM — 6:00 PM SCOR London Office
Video
SCOR Foundation Workshop: CRUCIAL
Lancaster University Global Newsletter
Climate change has become a major priority for governments, industries and insurance providers worldwide, and CRUCIAL’s expert prediction market approach is a valuable instrument for governments and private-sector organisations gauge these risks.
Oct 13, 2025 2 min read
Lancaster University Global Newsletter