The team is based in the Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Planetary Physics Sub-Department of The University of Oxford and is led by Dr. Kristian Strommen. The group consists primarily of members working on questions of predictability on timescales ranging from short-term weather to decades ahead, with a particular focus on the quantification of uncertainty and probabilistic information. The expertise of the group includes how global warming affects the risk of extreme weather; mid-latitude predictability on seasonal-to-decadal timescales; tropical/extratropical teleconnections; machine learning; and applications of weather forecasts to the energy industry. The group members follow a research paradigm wherein information is drawn seamlessly together across multiple timescales, using numerical weather forecasts on one end and climate models on the other.