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CAHM24
Sensing Danger
From the perils of icebergs and hurricanes to the power of space weather and the devastation of forest fires, Lancaster University researchers have been working for decades to detect and anticipate shifts in the natural world.
Lancaster University Press Team
May 3, 2024
9 min read
Update: Climate Risk at a Tipping Point?
Air Temperature, Sea Surface Temperature, and Tropical Storms
Kim Kaivanto
Mar 18, 2024
5 min read
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction Market Bulletin
A new commercial forecast has landed as sea-surface temperatures have been at record levels for 1 year and as El Niño is expected to transition into La Niña by mid-summer.
Kim Kaivanto and Mark Roulston
Mar 14, 2024
1 min read
PDF
How Do Atlantic Hurricanes Get Named?
For ease of communication with the public, each tropical storm is alotted a distinctive, instantly recognisable name. The storm retains this name even when it develops into a fully fledged hurricane.
Kim Kaivanto
Feb 8, 2024
2 min read
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction Market Bulletin
Groundhog Day: little change from last bulletin.
Kim Kaivanto and Mark Roulston
Feb 2, 2024
1 min read
PDF
This is the race to achieve reliable long-term weather predictions
CRUCIAL in the news.
Kim Kaivanto
Jan 22, 2024
2 min read
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction Market Bulletin
CRUCIAL’s hurricane prediction market is forecasting a higher-than-average number of hurricanes this year.
Kim Kaivanto and Mark Roulston
Jan 15, 2024
1 min read
PDF
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction Market Bulletin
Hurricane prediction market suggests an elevated likelihood of an active season.
Kim Kaivanto and Mark Roulston
Jan 2, 2024
1 min read
PDF
Tutorial for CAHM24
The CAHM24 prediction market is intended to produce a forecast of how many hurricanes will occur during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season that represents the collective wisdom and expertise of all those taking part.
Mark Roulston
Nov 7, 2023
4 min read
Inaugural expert climate prediction market for Atlantic hurricanes
The CRUCIAL at Lancaster University is opening a prediction market to forecast the number of Atlantic hurricanes in the 2024 hurricane season.
Lancaster University Press Team
Sep 18, 2023
2 min read
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