Todd Kaplan

Manipulation and (Mis)Trust in Prediction Markets
In this talk, Todd Kaplan (UoExeter, UoHaifa, CRUCIAL) presents joint work with Lawrence Choo and Ro’i Zultan on the effect that the presence of manipulators has on trust in prediction markets.
Sep 13, 2024 2:45 PM — 3:15 PM Lancaster University Management School
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Manipulation and (Mis)Trust in Prediction Markets
Markets, Information, and Feedback
In this talk, Todd Kaplan (UoExeter, UoHaifa, CRUCIAL) discusses potential feedback effects in equity markets and prediction markets.
Sep 21, 2023 12:00 PM — 1:15 PM Center for Behavioral Institutional Design, NYU Abu Dhabi
Markets, Information, and Feedback
Two projects on learning from markets: bank runs and climate change predictions
We use a lab experiment to study the endogeneity between stock market prices and bank runs. We also propose how prediction markets can be used to provide climate change predictions.
Oct 30, 2022 1:00 PM — 2:30 PM Robert H. Smith Faculty of Agriculture, Food and Environment, Hebrew University
Two projects on learning from markets: bank runs and climate change predictions
Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts
Forward-looking information about climate risks is critical for decision makers, but the provision and accuracy of such information is …
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Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts
CRUCIAL White Paper
A proposal for generating forward-looking climate-risk information with expert prediction markets.
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CRUCIAL White Paper