Kim Kaivanto

Expert Prediction Markets for Climate Risk
Dr Kim Kaivanto and Dr Mark Roulston introduce CRUCIAL at the Pentland Centre.
Jan 25, 2023 1:00 PM — 2:00 PM Pentland Centre for Sustainability in Business, LUMS
Expert Prediction Markets for Climate Risk
A viability study of joint-outcome prediction markets for climate risk
We demonstrate the viability of highly granular, two-dimensional (joint) outcome spaces with markets for monthly UK rainfall and temperature.
Dec 7, 2022 1:00 PM — 2:00 PM Dept of Economics, De Montford University
A viability study of joint-outcome prediction markets for climate risk
Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts
Forward-looking information about climate risks is critical for decision makers, but the provision and accuracy of such information is …
PDF DOI
Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts
CRUCIAL White Paper
A proposal for generating forward-looking climate-risk information with expert prediction markets.
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CRUCIAL White Paper
Prediction Markets for Climate Risk
A workshop about an initiative to address emerging problems with the provision of climate risk information. 8 Feb 2022, Woburn House, London
Feb 8, 2022 2:00 PM — 5:00 PM Woburn House
Prediction Markets for Climate Risk