Post Archive

AGORA Trading Guide v1.1
Guide to using CRUCIAL’s AGORA prediction market platform — API update (April 2026)
Apr 11, 2026 2 min read
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AGORA Trading Guide v1.1
CRUCIAL featured in Bloomberg article
CRUCIAL presented as exemplar of Science Markets
Apr 10, 2026 4 min read
CRUCIAL featured in Bloomberg article
Lancaster University Global Newsletter
Climate change has become a major priority for governments, industries and insurance providers worldwide, and CRUCIAL’s expert prediction market approach is a valuable instrument for governments and private-sector organisations gauge these risks.
Oct 13, 2025 2 min read
Lancaster University Global Newsletter
Five tips for making the most of El Niño and La Niña forecasts
Expert advice from Pedro Di Nezio on how to gain the greatest advantage from look-ahead forecasts of El Niño and La Niña
Jun 19, 2025 1 min read
Five tips for making the most of El Niño and La Niña forecasts
The 2024 Atlantic Tropical Storm Naming List
For ease of communication with the public, each tropical storm is alotted a distinctive, instantly recognisable name. The storm retains this name even when it develops into a fully fledged hurricane.
Jun 11, 2025 2 min read
Prediction markets are not a free lunch
Prediction markets should be explicitly funded by sponsors who want the information that the markets elicit and aggregate.
Jun 9, 2025 5 min read
Prediction markets are not a free lunch
Researchers to use the power of markets to break El Niño’s ‘Spring Barrier’
What problems do multi-decadal horizons create, and how can they be addressed?
Jun 4, 2025 4 min read
Researchers to use the power of markets to break El Niño’s ‘Spring Barrier’
The challenge of the horizon: Multi-decade prediction markets for climate
What problems do multi-decadal horizons create, and how can they be addressed?
Mar 17, 2025 4 min read
The challenge of the horizon: Multi-decade prediction markets for climate
Experts from UK universities strengthen LUMS’ climate risk forecasting initiative
Teams of academic experts from seven UK universities have joined Lancaster University Management School’s CRUCIAL initiative.
Feb 28, 2025 3 min read
Experts from UK universities strengthen LUMS’ climate risk forecasting initiative
Media coverage roundup
Media pieces mentioning CRUCIAL from the last two weeks.
Feb 7, 2025 1 min read
Media coverage roundup