Publications

Mark Roulston, Kim Kaivanto (2024). Joint-Outcome Prediction Markets for Climate Risks. PLOS ONE 19(8): e0309164.

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Mark Roulston, Kim Kaivanto (2024). Can expert prediction markets forecast climate-related risks?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 105(10): E1898–E1914.

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Mark Roulston, Todd Kaplan, Brett Day, Kim Kaivanto (2022). Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts. Nature Climate Change 12(10): 879-880.

Mark Roulston, Todd Kaplan, Brett Day, Kim Kaivanto (2022). CRUCIAL White Paper.

Kim Kaivanto (2022). Select bibliography of prediction market literature.